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This research has presented a comprehensive long-term
vision of the International Pipeline on the basis of the regional
balance of natural gas supply and demand in Northeast Asia.
International Pipeline Network in Northeast
Asia
Objectives
Current and Future Trends of Energy in the Northeast
Asia
This research provides latest information on the current and future
trends of energy in the Northeast Asian countries and areas and
their natural gas policies. The results can be used as a reference
concerning the energy situation of related countries and areas.
Regional Balance of Natural Gas Supply and
Demand
This research examines the future natural gas supply and demand
of each Northeast Asian country and area by regions. As a result,
excluding their own consumption, East Siberia and the Far East,
which are geographically near to Northeast Asia among the regions
of Eastern Russia, will be able to export 28 BCM in 2010 that will
not be enough to meet the future shortage of natural gas in Northeast
Asia. Therefore, it is obvious that Northeast Asian countries and
areas have to consider importing natural gas from West Siberia and
Central Asia who have enormous natural gas resources.
The Long-Term Vision of the International Pipeline
Taking account of the regional balance of supply and demand, this
research presents the long-term vision of the International Pipeline,
setting 2020 as the target year. Its basic concept is Ladder-type
Trunk Pipeline + Circular Line. The Ladder-type Trunk Pipeline consists
of two trunk lines: Northern Trunk Line, which connects West Siberia,
Krasnoyarsk, Irkutsk, Sakha Republic and Sakhalin, and Southern
Trunk Line, which connects Central Asia, Northwest China and Shanghai.
The Circular Line, which connects each demander, is a great circular
pipeline. It connects north Sakhalin, Khabarovsk, northeast China,
Shanghai and Japan. The Circular Line consists of two sub-circular
lines: Japan Sea Circular Pipeline and Bohai Circular Pipeline.
Socio-Economic Impacts of the International
Pipeline
The Construction of the International Pipeline will bring socio-economic
impacts on Northeast Asian countries and areas. Main impacts are
the following six:
- Conservation of Global Environment and Local Environment
- Introduction of Principles of Competition in Energy Sector
- Assurance of Energy Security
- Coping with Changes in Energy Demand Structure
- Dissolution of Non-electrification Areas
- Establishment of Relations of Mutual Reliance among Northeast
Asian Countries and Areas
Subject of Future Investigation
Important steps toward the realization of the International Pipeline
in Northeast Asia is to investigate the following two items:
- First is to construct a framework of International Cooperation.
In the process of establishing the framework of the future international
cooperation, it will become possible to create a community and
constitute a Northeast Asian Energy Charter;
- Second is to support the promotion of individual projects, such
as the Irkutsk project and the Sakhalin project, cooperating in
developing technologies for the construction of pipelines and
the utilization of natural gas and financing of the projects
How to Utilize This Report
It is important for NAGPF to make public announcement of the results
of this research "A Long-Term Vision of Natural Gas Trunkline in
Northeast Asia" and approach the governments of countries and areas
concerned and international organizations, such as the World Bank,
the Asian Development Bank and the International Energy Agency for
the realization of the International Pipeline.
Contents
| Chapter1 |
Introduction |
| Chapter2 |
Current Situation and Problems of Energy Development
in Northeast Asian Countries |
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2.1 Russia |
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2.2 China |
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2.3 South |
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2.4 Japan |
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2.5 Other Countries and Areas |
| Chapter3 |
Forecast of Future Trends of Natural Gas Development
and Utilization in Northeast Asian Countries |
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3.1 Russia |
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3.2 China |
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3.3 South Korea |
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3.4 Japan |
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3.5 Other Countries and Area |
| Chapter4 |
A Long-term Vision of Developing the International
Pipeline |
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4.1 The Position of Natural Gas in Each National Plan |
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4.2 Natural Gas Supply and Demand |
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4.3 A Long-term Vision of the International Pipeline |
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4.4 Socio-Economic Impacts of the International Pipelin |
| Chapter5 |
Conclusion |
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5.1 Why This Study |
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5.2 New Feature |
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5.3 Subject of Future Investigation |
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5.4 How to Utilize This Report Appendix |
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Editorial
Committee
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| Asia Gas & Pipeline Cooperation Research
Center of China |
Prof. H. Jianyi |
| Asian Pipeline Research Society of Japan |
Prof. M. Hirata |
| Energy Systems Institute, Irkutsk |
Prof. B. Saneev |
| Korea Pan-Asian Natural Gas & Pipeline Association |
Prof. J. M. Kang |
| Petroleum Authority of Mongolia |
Mr. A. Erdenedorj |
| Sakhaneftegaz |
Acad. V. Larionov |
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Asia Gas & Pipeline Cooperation Research Center
of China